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 The difference between planning 
      with and without FUTURA SW
(Click on Drawing)
 

Process Background:

Futura is based on the Danish Lichtenberg Method, which is a structured approach to modelling the future which enables decisions and plans to be made with a greatly enhanced understanding of the key issues, assumptions and risks that are involved. The original concept was developed by Professor Steen Lichtenberg at the Technical University in Copenhagen more than 20 years ago, and the approach is now widely used throughout Scandinavia, Northern Europe and farther afield for activities such as strategic planning, project control, costs and schedule risk assessments, and bid preparation.

 The Concept of Uncertainty

If a man will begin with certainties,
he shall end in doubts,
bu if he will be content to begin with doubts,
he shall end in certainties.
(Sir Francis Bacon 1551-1626)

The Method:

The Method involves an Analysis Group in a creative, multi-disciplinary process in which qualitative and quantitative data about the future are captured and modelled. The total 'world' of the task is considered - the task itself, the client organisation, the business environment; human issues, technical issues, commercial/financial issues. A 'top-down' philosophy helps to avoid unnecessary detail and enables the Group to develop the best possible result in the minimum time.

Keywords and Concepts:

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The Bayesian Theory

Subjective Probability Theory

Project Radar

Mind Mining

The Successive Principle

 Quick Links:

• PL Analyse
• Lichtenberg
• FuturaOne